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In March, tragic and concerning developments in the Middle East have added complexity to the narrative around emerging market (EM) equities. Conflict in the region has increased market volatility, prompted some de-risking across the EM complex and pushed oil prices higher, potentially affecting inflation. Here, we consider the potential impact of recent events on the broader EM asset class, individual markets, commodities, and the US dollar. It is important to note that events in Iran and the Middle East are developing rapidly, and our views are subject to change as events evolve.

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s landslide victory in snap parliamentary elections gives investors more reasons to be optimistic about Japan.

In this monthly video series, our Multi Asset team break down what’s changed in markets, what’s new, and what they’re watching next. This month, portfolio manager Chris Forgan highlights how recent geopolitical tensions underscore the importance of diversification, with gold and broad commodity exposure helping steady portfolios. He also explores why a supportive global backdrop keeps us pro‑risk, with emerging markets remaining a standout opportunity and selectivity key as the AI theme becomes more disruptive.

The latest conflict in Iran has injected fresh volatility into global markets. Here are potential scenarios and implications for portfolios across asset classes.

The US’s actions in Venezuela, rhetoric around Greenland, and ongoing tariff threats are the actions of a traditional hegemon rather than a steward of a globalist system. Alongside Germany’s shift towards expansionary fiscal policy and Canada’s calls for the middle powers to unite, they are symptomatic of intensifying geoeconomic fragmentation.

In this monthly video series, our Multi Asset team break down what’s changed in markets, what’s new, and what they’re watching next. This month, portfolio manager Caroline Shaw explores our shift toward greater cyclical exposure, looking at how a strong economic backdrop and supportive policies have led us to add US mid‑caps and broad commodities, and what this means for capturing growth while managing inflation risks.

As we enter the Year of the Horse, our investment team assess the risks and opportunities facing investors across China’s markets. With the Year of the Fire Horse symbolising energy, ambition and endurance, we examine the macro and micro factors that are combing to strengthen the investment outlook for Asia’s largest economy.

Emerging markets roar back