A more supportive backdrop despite challenges

01 Feb 2024

Franklin Templeton: A more supportive backdrop despite challenges

Martin Currie


CONTRIBUTORS | Zehrid Osmani, Head of Global Long Term Unconstrained, Senior  Portfolio Manager

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In the face of economic uncertainty, European equities offer opportunities for the selective quality growth investor. In 2024, we foresee inflation to be stickier and longer lasting with slower economic growth, particularly in the US and China. In Europe and the UK, we continue to forecast ongoing stagflation.

Despite the muted growth outlook, the expected pivot by the European Central Bank (ECB), and other central banks, has the potential to be supportive for equity markets. European equities also offer more valuation support relative to history and other developed market equities.

We see opportunities for long term investors in structural growth segments such as high-end consumer goods, energy transition and disruptive technology.


WHAT ARE THE RISKS?

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  Please note that an investor cannot invest directly in an index. Unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges. The value of investments can go down as well as up, and investors may not get back the full amount invested.

Equity securities are subject to price fluctuation and possible loss of principal. 

Fixed-income securities involve interest rate, credit, inflation and reinvestment risks; and possible loss of principal. As interest rates rise, the value of fixed income securities falls. 

International investments are subject to special risks including currency fluctuations, social, economic and political uncertainties, which could increase volatility. These risks are magnified in emerging markets

Commodities and currencies contain heightened risk that include market, political, regulatory, and natural conditions and may not be suitable for all investors.

US Treasuries are direct debt obligations issued and backed by the “full faith and credit” of the U.S. government. The US government guarantees the principal and interest payments on U.S. Treasuries when the securities are held to maturity. Unlike US Treasuries, debt securities issued by the federal agencies and instrumentalities and related investments may or may not be backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. Even when the US government guarantees principal and interest payments on securities, this guarantee does not apply to losses resulting from declines in the market value of these securities.

China may be subject to considerable degrees of economic, political and social instability. Investments in securities of Chinese issuers involve risks that are specific to China, including certain legal, regulatory, political and economic risks.


IMPORTANT LEGAL INFORMATION

 

This material is intended to be of general interest only and should not be construed as individual investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security or to adopt any investment strategy. It does not constitute legal or tax advice.

The views expressed are those of the investment manager and the comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as at publication date and may change without notice. The information provided in this material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any country, region or market. All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal.

Data from third party sources may have been used in the preparation of this material and Franklin Templeton ("FT") has not independently verified, validated or audited such data. FT accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this information and reliance upon the comments opinions and analyses in the material is at the sole discretion of the user.

Products, services and information may not be available in all jurisdictions and are offered outside the U.S. by other FT affiliates and/or their distributors as local laws and regulation permits. Please consult your own financial professional or Franklin Templeton institutional contact for further information on availability of products and services in your jurisdiction.

Issued by Franklin Templeton Investment Management Limited (FTIML). Registered office: Cannon Place, 78 Cannon Street, London EC4N 6HL. FTIML is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Investments entail risks, the value of investments can go down as well as up and investors should be aware they might not get back the full value invested.


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