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The label "junk bonds" has been around long enough to subtly influence how many investors think about the high yield market - as something inherently reckless, a place you go when you are willing to gamble. After 26 years in credit markets, 13 of them focused specifically on high yield, I find that characterisation increasingly misleading, and substantially wrong.

The decline in UK IPOs is part of a broader global trend, but the UK has been hit particularly hard. With fewer companies listing, more choosing overseas markets, and a steady stream of takeovers, the question is no longer whether there is a problem, but how serious it has become and whether there is a realistic path to recovery.

In the latest edition of Strategic Thinking Out Loud, Alex Pelteshki, Investment Manager, explores how the wave of rolling recessions – sweeping through sectors from Energy to Software – is reshaping opportunities across credit markets. He discusses why this environment highlights the advantage of a concentrated, index-agnostic active management approach that is focused on precise security selection.

Financial markets enter 2026 on solid footing. Resilient economic conditions, robust corporate earnings growth and sustained enthusiasm for large-scale investment in artificial intelligence (AI) should support risk assets throughout the year. Anticipated US interest rate cuts should provide additional tailwinds.

When investors want to reduce risk, where do they turn?  After almost two years of chasing returns, many now ask: is it time to add something more defensive? 

The vast majority of companies have now reported their second-quarter numbers, and the good news is that things looked pretty solid overall.

Credit markets are flashing a signal that hasn’t appeared in decades: corporate bonds are trading as if default risk has virtually disappeared. This compression in credit spreads – the extra yield investors demand to hold corporate debt over government bonds – has created either an extraordinary opportunity or a dangerous trap.